2018 is already hereis coming to an end, RecentlyThe market basically gives an “answer” of constantly hitting new lows. Polyester filamentPOY150DFrom the highest12400yuan/ton, reaching the lowest level of 10000yuan/ton, a decrease of 19.35%, so far, Polyester filamenthas returned2018 The price level at the bottom of the year, OneYear Quotes“Nanke Yimeng”!
|
Product |
2018.9.10 |
2018.11.5 |
Rise and fall |
|
Polyester FDY150D |
12200 |
10500 |
-1700 |
|
Polyester POY150D |
12400 |
10000 |
-2400 |
|
Polyester DTY150D |
13500 |
12000 |
-1500 |
Below A brief analysis of this round of spot prices from both supply and demand aspectsPlummetReason:
Supply: Upstream does not cooperate, the market Supply Too many!
1. PTAThe sharp rise and fall will produce a bitter fruit, The decline is out of control
In June-August this year, PTA welcomes The sudden surge in market prices caused many downstream industries to be quickly “shuffled”, and many affected small and medium-sized enterprises were forced to reduce or suspend production to reduce the pressure caused by the surge in raw material prices.
Production reduction and proximal time of downstream factories The end of the tense situation and the weakening of repurchase efforts by major manufacturers have led to the continuous accumulation of PTA inventory, which has also become the flash point of this decline. After more than a month of continuous rise, the PTA market has reached an inflection point , the market entered a plummeting state.
has shown improvement, and the order-taking performance has been good. The overall dyeing shipment speed is 10-15 days, and the output is partially limited. The number of orders in the main market increased, but the number of orders was average. The atmosphere gradually eased with the increase in market orders.
As Double Eleven approaches, The downstream market orders are rushing to get goods. Judging from the current quantity of gray fabrics in printing and dyeing factories, the market conditions of printing and dyeing factories making market ordersThe delivery period has been extended . But The current fabric trade environment is average,results inlack of large orders to the dyeing factory, Order from In terms of size, the number is still small. The single-dyed products in the market are mainly autumn fabrics such as imitation memory, pongee, and T400. Due torecently the number of dyeing factories has increased, and conventional varieties have The period has been delayed and will be shipped in about fifteen days. It is expected that will receive dyeing orders from printing and dyeing factories in the near future /font>will increase slightly.
AndWith the end of Double Eleven, market orderswill has gradually declined, and it is expected that the market will remain stable by December.
Circular Knitting Machine Market: Currentlyround Machinemarket conditions are light, manufacturers maintain a low of about 58.7%Start construction and produce to order. On the demand side, the overall environment is not ideal, and market orders have weakened year-on-year. According to reports, Manpower, water and electricity, The cost of raw materials is high, and corporate profits are diluted, so they dare not take orders at will. The market outlook lacks favorable support, and it is unlikely that the order volume will be enlarged. In addition, from the raw material purchasing strategy, they all choose to use as they are purchased. In previous years The phenomenon of large-scale stocking is difficult to form in the near future.
Conclusion: With the recent epidemic in Jiangsu and Zhejiang, A large-scale production shutdown is coming for a week, and is approachingDouble Eleven node, Market participants are more inclined to wait for the market to become clearer next week before making operations, and the recent price is expected There is still a possibility of a falldown in the short term Continue the weak market and pay attention to downstream transaction volume Cooperate with the factory and the delivery status of early orders.
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