As time enters December, 2019 has officially come to an end. Although this year’s textile market is not friendly to the vast majority of textile people, the last month does not mean that this year’s textile market has come to an end.
By analyzing the monthly fabric production data of the National Bureau of Statistics in the past three years, we can find a very obvious pattern. From 2016 to 2018, although the overall fabric production has been declining year by year, there will be a wave of production peaks from November to December at the end of each year, even the highest value for the whole year. This small wave of “flip” proves that there is still something to be done in the textile market at the end of the year. The statistics for the end of this year have not yet been released, but various signs indicate that the probability of “keeping pace” with previous years is still high.
Compared with weaving factories, printing and dyeing factories can better reflect Market situation
Although the overall fabric output is a manifestation of the changes in the textile market, when it comes to the micro market, the order changes of printing and dyeing factories are more convincing than those of weaving factories.
The number of orders from one or two weaving factories in the textile market generally cannot reflect the quality of the market. For factories with fewer looms, orders of tens of thousands of meters may be considered more profitable; and if the fabrics woven by the weaving factory happen to be popular for a certain product, the order volume will naturally not be small, but it does not mean that other fabrics are also popular. On the contrary, Due to the substitution effect between fabrics, the number of orders for other fabrics will drop sharply. For example, this year’s T400 was outstanding throughout the second half of the year, but the fabrics it replaced, such as imitation memory and true memory, saw bleak sales and the overall market remained sluggish.
In comparison, the order situation of dyeing factories can better reflect the overall situation of the textile market. First of all, the number of dyeing factories is limited. No matter how many weaving factories there are, the final products will be collected in dozens of dyeing factories. In addition, no dyeing factory will only produce and process a certain kind of fabric. Generally, it involves a variety of varieties, but it will be better at a certain type of product.
Nearly 500 rolls enter the warehouse in one day, but still have no say in the dyeing factory
In weaving Companies are already planning when to take a holiday, and dyeing factories, thanks to many customers rushing to ship goods years ago, are anxious about how to arrange production reasonably and effectively.
According to feedback from an old dyeing factory that is good at four-sided bombing, their factory is not small, with more than 100 dyeing vats, but there have been a lot of orders recently, and many customers are tens of thousands of meters long. , for a large order of more than 100,000 meters, more than 100 cylinders are no longer enough.
In the past two days, a customer has entered the warehouse with 476 rolls of four-sided elastic, nearly 100,000 meters of cloth. The quantity is not small. Normally, we can talk to the factory about dyeing fees and delivery time, but this time we basically have no say. Because now the factory is no longer just a matter of how many days the card will be issued, but all cards must be signed by the factory director. Without the signature of the factory director, I can’t get the card even after half a month.
T400 orders decline, other varieties emerge
The performance of T400 fabric this year can be said to be a “king”, but the textile market cannot be established by just one “king”, let alone this “king”. Suppress the living space of other fabrics. But recently, “good news” came from the dyeing factory – the order volume of T400 has dropped.
There is a dyeing factory in Shengze area. The products originally processed by the factory are very miscellaneous, such as imitation silk, nylon, four-way stretch, etc. As long as they are conventional varieties on the market, they can Do. But for a long time this year, this factory has almost been “reduced” to a T400-only factory. More than 100 cylinders of T400 are produced every day. The various machines in the factory are running on T400 fabrics, and it is difficult to see other fabrics. traces.
However, the factory has recently reported that the number of T400s is declining. From nearly 200 cylinders a day at the peak, to 60-70 cylinders a day half a month ago, and now 20-30 cylinders a day. The daily production volume of T400 is shrinking, but the dye vat operating rate is still 100%, and it still has to be stuck for 7 days. These performances of dyeing factories are mainly due to the “comeback” of other conventional fabrics such as imitation silk, nylon, and pongee.
Another dyeing factory also had the same performance. According to the person in charge of the dyeing factory, because their factory is not very good at T400 fabrics, when there are many T400 orders in the market, they do not How much light does it get? The factory’s operating rate was once only 50-70%, but recently there has been a sudden increase in the number of imitation silk, pongee and other fabrics in the factory. The operating rate has increased and stabilized at around 80%. Although it is not fully operational, it has been compared to the previous period. Much better.
The textile drama at the end of the year has been Slowly unfolding, what is even more valuable is that there is more than one protagonist this time. The addition of imitation silk, pongee, nylon and other fabrics has made the textile market a bright spot, and the future is promising. </p
