Recently, some viscose staple fiber traders are crying: Why is the price of polyester filament, both of which are chemical fiber raw materials, constantly rising, while viscose staple fiber seems to be stuck in a puddle of stagnant water, unable to stir up any waves. I still remember that viscose staple fiber soared last year, with the highest price rising to 17,400 yuan/ton. This year, the highest price of viscose staple fiber is only around 14,800 yuan/ton, which is difficult to break through…
Entering June In the middle of the year, viscose staple fiber, which had been “rising all the way” in the early stage, was “stopped”. The quotations of mid-range manufacturers have been hovering at 14,800-15,000 yuan/ton, and the quotations of high-end products are at 15,300-15,400 yuan/ton. In the early stage, buyers who responded actively also began to “stop their activities”. Until late July, cracks appeared in the viscose staple fiber market price, which had been stalemate again and again, and the price began to fall. As of July 23, the negotiation price of mid-range products has dropped to 14,500-14,600 yuan/ton, while the price of high-end manufacturers has remained firm at 14,800 yuan/ton. The market bargaining space has expanded, with individual prices falling below 14,500 yuan/ton. There are rumors of 14,200-14,200 yuan/ton in Fujian. 14,300 yuan/ton.
Off season! The continued slump in production and sales became the “last straw”!
In late June, the off-season atmosphere of the entire textile market is obvious. Whether it is the terminal garment industry or the mid-end spinning and gray cloth links, the overall market trading atmosphere is not as good as in the previous period. , compared with the same period last year, the performance was even worse. Market production and sales have been running at a low level. It is basically difficult for high-end manufacturers to maintain production and sales, and mid-range manufacturers generally have less than 50%. This sluggish market has lasted for nearly a month. The execution of early orders has come to an end, and industry inventories have also increased slightly.
As a downstream product of viscose staple fiber, rayon yarn has not been as popular as pure polyester yarn, cotton yarn, etc. recently. There are fewer hot products in the market, and the proportion of viscose in many products is declining. The overall core-spun yarn sales have shrunk compared with last year. Changshu area Core-spun yarn customers have switched to spinning velvet yarn, angora yarn, etc. with a fluffier feel. Conventional varieties such as vortex spinning, siro spinning, and open-end spinning have all shown a downward trend in both volume and price, which has resulted in spinners being less enthusiastic about purchasing raw materials. In the absence of positive demand support, mainstream viscose staple fiber manufacturers have difficulty leveraging the market, and prices can only go down.
On and off! Equipment fluctuates frequently, and new production capacity becomes the focus of attention in the second half of the year
Judging from the recent market fundamentals, load fluctuations have a greater impact on the price trend of viscose staple fiber. Entering July, the viscose staple fiber load fluctuated more frequently, with the industry load rising from 78% in early June to 84%: Manas Shunquan, which had been shut down to limit production from the end of June to early July, resumed production in mid-July, and Funing’ao Yangzhou, Jilin Chemical Fiber, Xinxiang Chemical Fiber and other companies have resumed production one after another; Tangshan Sanyou put into operation its first new viscose staple fiber line with an annual output of 125,000 tons in mid-June. In addition, a second production line is also on the agenda, and the market load is increasing. , supply is also showing an enlarging trend.
On the one hand, due to the continuous intensification of environmental protection rectification, the viscose staple fiber industry is also included in the environmental protection, and many devices have been shut down; on the other hand, this year’s viscose In the year of the Great Leap Forward in rubber staple fiber production capacity, industry capacity expansion in the first half of the year is mainly concentrated in high-end enterprises, totaling about 280,000 tons. With one entry and one exit, the production capacity of the viscose staple fiber market has become an important factor affecting the trend of the industry.
As can be seen from the table above, 485,000 tons of new production capacity is expected to be put into operation in the second half of the year, and Jiangsu Xiangsheng’s 280,000 tons may resume production at the end of the year.
Overall, it is difficult for viscose staple fiber to have a big growth in 2018 under the background of high growth of new production capacity. As a result, coupled with the continuous tightening of policy supervision, the continuous improvement of industry entry barriers, and the increasing impact of external uncertainties, many companies have even less room for survival. As the new production lines of major major manufacturers are put into use in the third and fourth quarters, the concentration of market production capacity will further increase, and the industry will also enter a relatively safe stage. Prices will fall but not necessarily losses!
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